Global Intelligence Briefing

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, we focus on Gaza’s ceasefire facing its first stress test. As dusk settles over Tel Aviv and Rafah, Hamas returned four more bodies of deceased hostages to the Red Cross — eight in total so far — while Israel threatens to halve aid convoys and delay Rafah’s reopening until all 28 bodies are repatriated. Why it leads: scale and stakes — 69,100+ confirmed dead; diplomacy — US-Egypt-Qatar guarantees with Trump’s shuttle yielding the first-phase swap of 20 living hostages; timing — momentum meets verification. Our historical check shows Israel approved an outline to release all hostages, living and deceased, with phased withdrawals, and Trump announced an “initial withdrawal line.” The ceasefire’s durability now hinges on sequencing: remains recovery in a shattered enclave, aid scaling toward 600 trucks/day, and credible monitoring of withdrawals and disarmament demands. Today in

, we scan the world’s moving parts: - Africa: Madagascar’s elite CAPSAT unit says it seized power; Rajoelina fled citing threats. Reports indicate 22+ dead. Underreported, per our scan: Sudan’s cascading catastrophe — 24.6 million in acute hunger, 638,000 at catastrophic levels, cholera surging with hundreds of thousands of cases; funding remains critically short. - Middle East: Live updates show Israel restricting aid while more remains arrive; analysis pieces credit Trump’s role but warn it’s not a roadmap. UNIFIL violations and Lebanon drone overflights keep the northern file hot. - Eastern Europe: Day 1,329 — Russian drones and glide bombs hit Kharkiv, wounding seven and forcing a hospital evacuation. Context: weeks of strikes on Ukraine’s gas and grid assets and Ukrainian long-range drones disrupting Russian refineries. - Americas: US shutdown, Day 14 — 900,000 furloughed; 700,000 working without pay. CDC cuts near 600 staff deepen response gaps; outlets warn “nobody to answer the phone.” - Trade and climate: US-China shipping spat escalates — reciprocal port fees and 100% tariffs on China-linked ship-to-shore cranes from Nov. 9; Washington weighs penalties on countries backing the IMO’s net-zero plan even as talks kick off in London. Renewables added a record 582 GW in 2024, still short of the pace needed for 1.5°C. - Great Lakes to Nordics: Sweden narrows free COVID vaccine eligibility to most vulnerable amid fiscal strain. Underreported alerts from our historical scan: Myanmar’s Rakhine blockade pushing over 2 million toward famine as trade routes close and rice output collapses; DR Congo’s Doha track moves forward with a new M23 ceasefire-monitoring mechanism after months of missed deadlines. Today in

, we connect the threads. Energy strikes in Ukraine, tariff wars, and shipping penalties push up logistics and grid repair costs, while WFP faces a 40% funding drop — a multiplier for hunger in Sudan, Somalia, and Rakhine. Governance strain — a US shutdown hobbling CDC capacity; Madagascar’s military crisis — collides with disease outbreaks and disaster response. Climate policy friction at the IMO meets record renewable buildout that still trails targets, keeping freight emissions elevated just as supply chains reprice risk. Today in

- Europe: Germany’s coalition stalls on conscription reform; WHO urges tighter alcohol controls to cut cancer deaths. Nor’easter impacts continue along the US East Coast with coastal flooding stress-testing Atlantic routes. - Eastern Europe: Kharkiv pounded; Ukraine extends deep drone strikes on Russian fuel infrastructure. - Middle East: Ceasefire mechanics hinge on remains accounting and aid scale-up; Sharm el-Sheikh diplomacy continues without Israel or Hamas at the table. - Africa: Madagascar coup claim escalates; Cameroon’s opposition declares victory as the country awaits official results; DR Congo-M23 agree on an international monitoring body. - Indo-Pacific: Philippines earthquake toll remains high; China’s deflation persists, signaling weak demand; rare earths and export controls tighten tech frictions. - Americas: Banks post bumper profits on dealmaking; Powell signals openness to more rate cuts; US considers sanctions tied to IMO climate votes; security and media-access fights sharpen around the Pentagon. Today in

, questions asked — and missing: - Asked: Will the Gaza remains dispute derail aid scale-up and withdrawal sequencing? - Missing: Will donors surge OCV vaccines, safe water, and food for Sudan now? Can corridors open into Myanmar’s Rakhine before lean season peaks? How will port fees and crane tariffs ripple into food prices and medicine supply in Q4–Q1? Who safeguards ceasefire monitoring in DR Congo to protect civilians? In Madagascar, is there a credible mediation track to restore constitutional order? Cortex concludes: Ceasefires, clinics, and commerce share a lifeline — functioning systems. Keep power grids, ports, and public health intact, and diplomacy has room to work. This is NewsPlanetAI — The Daily Briefing. We’ll be back on the hour.