Global Intelligence Briefing

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, we focus on the sudden rupture in U.S.–Canada trade talks. President Trump terminated negotiations and layered broad tariffs on Canadian goods, citing a “fraudulent” anti‑tariff ad. This caps a six‑month arc of escalating duties since August’s 35% levy, puncturing hopes for a reset under CUSMA carve‑outs. Why it matters now: the White House is already wielding sanctions on Russia’s oil majors — and today multiple reports indicate India and China are curbing purchases — while Congress remains sidelined by a shutdown fight. Trade, energy, and executive latitude are converging: tariffs hit supply chains and prices; oil sanctions reroute flows; and the legislature struggles to reassert control over purse and war powers. Today in

, we scan the hour: - Europe/Eastern Europe: EU leaders stalled a €140 billion Ukraine loan backed by Russian frozen assets until December; Belgium’s De Wever dug in on risk‑sharing. Lithuania protested a brief airspace breach by two Russian jets. Investigators say Louvre jewel thieves left over 150 traces as the hunt narrows. Ukraine marks day 1,338 of war; EU vowed more support for 2026–27. - Middle East: The Gaza truce remains brittle — reports of renewed strikes and hostage remains transfers underscore fragility. An Israeli editorial warns hospitals are the “second front,” urging hardening of medical infrastructure. - Indo‑Pacific: India and China are expected to sharply curb Russian oil imports after U.S. sanctions on Russia’s top producers; China touts a “big leap” in tech and grid dominance; Thailand’s deputy finance minister resigned amid scam allegations; Pakistan seeks China’s backing to join the BRICS bank. - Americas: The Senate failed to pay even essential federal workers as the shutdown deepens; Trump scrapped a San Francisco immigration operation and drew GOP backing for lethal maritime strikes near Venezuela. Trump declared Canada talks “over,” and pardoned Binance’s CZ, boosting crypto sentiment. - Weather/Climate: Tropical Storm Melissa is forecast to rapidly intensify, with Jamaica and Haiti bracing for up to two feet of rain — a flash‑flood threat where aid is already thin. Morocco set its first coal phase‑out date: 2040. Underreported, per our historical checks: - Sudan (El Fasher): 260,000+ trapped after 16 months; kitchens shuttered; child deaths from hunger mounting; warnings of “ethnically driven” atrocities. - Myanmar (Rakhine): Over 2 million at imminent famine risk under a military blockade; WFP operations halted. - Haiti: 5.7 million face acute hunger; funding under 15%; gangs control most of Port‑au‑Prince — now in Melissa’s path. - Global aid: WFP cuts from $10B to roughly $6.4B will drop tens of millions from assistance in Somalia, Ethiopia and beyond. Today in

, we connect the threads. Three vectors are amplifying risk: economic coercion (tariffs, oil sanctions) reshapes trade and energy costs; executive action outpaces legislative oversight on budgets and use of force; and humanitarian finance collapses as climate hazards intensify. The cascade is visible: sanctions pinch revenues; gold surges on uncertainty; shutdowns delay data and disaster response; storms hit the poorest states where aid pipelines are severed. Today in

- Europe: EU–Russia asset debate drags; France faces budget headwinds; Louvre probe accelerates. - Eastern Europe: Ukrainian civilians killed in Donetsk; NATO airspace friction with Russia; EU aid timing uncertain. - Middle East: Ceasefire tenuous; hospitals strained; Iran’s inflation and currency slide continue to squeeze wages. - Africa: Ivory Coast election tensions rise; Sudan’s Darfur siege deepens; Mozambique displacement grows; WTO/World Bank highlight Africa’s digital trade hurdles. - Indo‑Pacific: China doubles down on green‑grid dominance; India/China oil recalibration; Thailand governance pressure; India bus fire kills at least 20. - Americas: Shutdown pay bill fails; U.S.–Canada trade rupture; operations near Venezuela win GOP cheers; hurricane threat for Jamaica/Haiti. Today in

, the questions: - Being asked: Will Indian and Chinese pullbacks from Russian crude force deeper discounts or break Moscow’s refinery exports? Can the EU align on frozen‑asset financing without legal blowback? - Not asked enough: Who replaces WFP’s multibillion‑dollar gap before famine hardens in El Fasher, Rakhine, and Haiti? What statutory guardrails define executive strikes against “narco‑terrorists”? How will tariff revenue and potential Supreme Court‑ordered refunds reshape U.S. fiscal math mid‑shutdown? Who guarantees protected corridors for hospitals in conflict zones? Cortex concludes: Tonight’s signal is coherence — or its absence. When trade, energy, law, and aid pull together, crises ease. When they pull apart, scarcity compounds. We’ll keep tracking both the loud headlines and the quiet emergencies. This is NewsPlanetAI — The Daily Briefing. Back on the hour.