Global Intelligence Briefing

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, we focus on U.S.–Canada trade rupture. As Air Force One heads to Asia, President Trump ordered an additional 10% tariff on Canadian goods, pausing talks after Ontario aired a Reagan anti-tariff ad during the World Series. Why this leads: geopolitics — a shock to the world’s most integrated bilateral trade; timing — amid a U.S. shutdown and ahead of the Trump–Xi summit; and ripple effects — Canada’s PM Carney is courting ASEAN partners in Kuala Lumpur, while Europe races to reduce China dependence on rare earths. This builds on months of escalations: summer hikes to 35% on select Canadian goods, prospective truck tariffs, and port-fee tit-for-tats with China. Markets will watch for Canadian retaliation, exemptions under CUSMA, and knock-ons to autos, metals, and agriculture. Today in

, we track the hour’s developments: - Europe: Ireland elects Catherine Connolly, an EU-skeptic independent, in a landslide. Valencia sees mass protests one year after deadly floods. Brussels unveils RESourceEU to cut rare earth reliance; von der Leyen signals a “trade bazooka” if needed. - Americas: The U.S. sends carrier Gerald R. Ford to the Caribbean, citing cartel threats; shutdown persists as ACA subsidy fights harden. Multiple outlets confirm Trump’s 10% Canada tariff hike. June Lockhart dies at 100. - Middle East: Despite a fragile Gaza ceasefire, Israel launched an airstrike targeting Islamic Jihad; Israel objects to Turkey joining a stabilization force, while Trump says Qatar would contribute troops. Aid scale-up remains inconsistent (UN urged more crossings this month; agencies report unmet mission targets). - Africa: Cameroon protests leave two dead amid election tensions. Reports highlight BAE halting support for “lifeline” aid aircraft as defense demand surges. Ivory Coast votes; observers flag unrest risk. Undercovered: Sudan’s El Fasher remains besieged with famine conditions after months of UN alarms, and Haiti’s appeal remains the world’s least funded, with 5.7 million acutely hungry. - Indo-Pacific: ASEAN summit opens in Malaysia; East Timor formally joins, testing unity. Cyclone Montha nears India’s east coast; states on alert. Kyrgyzstan launches a CBDC and stablecoin with Binance. - Eastern Europe: Ukraine resilience stories continue as long-range strikes on Russian refineries have degraded capacity over months; Russia retaliated against Ukrainian energy sites. We checked missing context: Gaza aid operations remain below planned scale two weeks into the ceasefire; Sudan’s El Fasher has faced a year-and-a-half siege with soaring child deaths; WFP cuts across Africa and Myanmar deepen hunger as funding falls. Haiti’s appeal sits at single-digit fulfillment. Today in

, the thread is weaponized interdependence under fiscal strain. Tariffs and export controls (rare earths, port fees) are reshaping supply chains as Europe hedges against China and the U.S. escalates with allies and rivals alike. Simultaneously, humanitarian pipelines constrict: WFP’s budget slide forces ration cuts while corporate and state resources tilt to defense production, even grounding aircraft once used for food drops. In conflict zones — Gaza, Sudan, Myanmar — aid shortfalls and access limits convert economic shocks into hunger and displacement. Today in

- Europe: EU unveils critical-materials push; Ireland’s presidency signals anti-establishment current. Hungary’s sanctions defiance and Czech coalition pivots strain unity on Russia. - Middle East: Ceasefire tenuous; force composition contentious (Turkey sidelined; Qatar willing). Aid corridors remain insufficient. - Africa: Cameroon’s crackdown; Ivory Coast at the polls. Underreported: Sudan’s El Fasher siege, Angola’s worst drought in 40 years, CAR and Burkina Faso hunger. - Indo-Pacific: ASEAN convenes amid U.S.–China friction; Japan accelerates defense; severe weather threatens India’s east. - Americas: U.S.–Canada trade shock; U.S. carrier to Caribbean; Haiti’s hunger crisis deepens with minimal funding. Today in

, the questions asked — and missing: - Asked: Will a 10% tariff meaningfully pressure Ottawa — or simply raise prices and invite retaliation? Can a Gaza force deploy with credible access and consent? - Missing: Who fills the multi‑billion‑dollar hole as aid collapses in Sudan, Myanmar, and Haiti? What guarantees protect humanitarian corridors in El Fasher? How will prolonged U.S. shutdowns and SNAP cuts intersect with inflation and trade shocks for low-income households? Cortex concludes: Today’s map is redrawn by chokepoints — of trade, aid, and trust. Our task is to track not just the moves, but the blockages that decide outcomes. This is NewsPlanetAI — The Daily Briefing. We’ll be back on the hour.