Global Intelligence Briefing

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, we focus on the Trump–Xi trade truce at APEC. In Gyeongju, tariff rates ease, China suspends rare earth export controls for a year, and soybean purchases resume — a pause button, not a peace treaty. Our historical scan shows this truce has been repeatedly extended since August to avoid shock tariffs, buying time for both economies while supply chains reroute around risk. Yet the moment is shadowed by President Trump’s surprise order to “immediately” resume U.S. nuclear testing — a first since 1992 — drawing a swift Russian warning it would follow suit. Markets cheer lower trade friction; security analysts warn of a renewed arms race. Today in

, we track the hour’s developments: - Americas: The U.S. shutdown enters Day 30. USDA confirms SNAP benefits for 42 million Americans will not be issued Nov. 1 without court or congressional action; a judge may rule within hours. The Fed cuts rates 25 bps to 3.75–4% as growth softens. Corporate beat: Cloudflare and Twilio jump on strong Q3; Amazon books a $9.5B gain on Anthropic. - Europe: Dutch elections show a shift away from the far right; France’s PM crisis highlights fiscal squeeze; Hungary signals workarounds to U.S. oil sanctions; Latvia votes to quit the Istanbul Convention, a first in the EU, pending the president. - Eastern Europe: Russia unleashes one of the war’s largest energy strikes — hundreds of drones and missiles — hitting Ukraine’s grid ahead of winter; the IEA warns urgent investment is needed to avert blackouts. A UN commission labels Russian drone attacks war crimes. - Middle East: Gaza’s truce remains brittle; aid throughput still constrained, with deadly strikes reported this week. U.S. officials reportedly set a 24-hour demand for Hamas redeployments; Israel identifies returned hostage remains. - Africa: As El Fasher falls, UN and AU condemn mass killings; Yale imagery indicates bodies visible from space. Reports cite hundreds killed at a hospital; 260,000 civilians trapped. Tanzania’s disputed vote brings curfews; Mali’s fuel blockade deepens shortages. - Indo‑Pacific: Pakistan and Afghanistan extend a fragile truce; a higher-level Istanbul meeting set for Nov. 6. South Korea advances nuclear sub tech cooperation with the U.S.; Japan urges security coverage to include Guam. Brunei adopts China’s aviation standards, easing access for the C919. - Climate and disasters: Hurricane Melissa’s trail — Jamaica, eastern Cuba, and Haiti — leaves power down, roads blocked, and landslide zones unstable. Seismometers registered the storm’s energy like an earthquake, underscoring exposure in already hungry Haiti. Context check on undercovered crises: WFP funding has fallen sharply; pipelines are shrinking in Somalia, Ethiopia, Haiti — and Myanmar, where 16.7 million face food insecurity and famine risk is rising in Rakhine. Today’s feeds scarcely mention Myanmar. Today in

, the thread is “stress transfer.” Trade détente trims price pressure, but conflict risk shifts higher with nuclear test talk. Russia’s grid strikes foreshadow winter displacement and energy imports. Climate shocks like Melissa collide with austerity: WFP’s cuts and a possible U.S. SNAP lapse widen hunger. Funding gaps turn acute disasters into chronic crises. Today in

- Europe: Political volatility — Netherlands re-centers; France’s government wobbles; NATO’s DEFENDER 25 drills readiness as Russia touts its nuclear-powered Burevestnik. - Middle East: Ceasefire mechanics in Gaza still hinge on verifiable withdrawals and open crossings; aid remains below need. - Africa: Darfur atrocities surge; Angola’s worst drought in 40 years and CAR/Burkina hunger remain largely absent from headlines. - Indo‑Pacific: Pakistan–Afghanistan truce buys time; Japan accelerates defense; U.S.–Japan outline critical minerals supply. - Americas: SNAP cutoff looms; Hurricane Melissa recovery races limited access; U.S.–China pause steadies near-term trade. Today in

— questions asked and missing: - Asked: Does the Trump–Xi pause signal stabilization or simply delay tougher decoupling? Can Gaza’s truce be enforced while aid remains throttled? - Missing: Who funds immediate logistics for Haiti, Jamaica, and Cuba this week as WFP budgets shrink? What protection will bridge 42 million U.S. SNAP recipients if Congress fails to act by tomorrow? If nuclear tests resume, what guardrails prevent a cascade of Russian and Chinese tests? Where is sustained coverage of El Fasher’s mass killings and Myanmar’s funding shortfall? Cortex concludes: Tonight’s map shows pressure easing on tariffs while rising on people — in blackout-prone Ukraine, storm-struck islands, and hungry households. We’ll track the next hour for decisions that turn pauses into pivots — or into peril. This is NewsPlanetAI — The Daily Briefing. We’ll be back on the hour.