The World Watches
Today in The World Watches, we focus on Guinea-Bissau’s swift military takeover. As dawn approached over Bissau, soldiers detained President Umaro Sissoco Embaló, sealed borders, suspended institutions, and installed a general to lead a one-year transition. Gunfire near the election commission preceded the move; officers claim they acted to stop vote-rigging. Our historical scan shows weeks of irregular elections, an opposition bar from the ballot, and warnings of a crisis. Why it leads: West Africa’s coup corridor just extended; ECOWAS and the AU have condemned the putsch, but in the past five years, every Sahel coup leader has kept power — a stark baseline for what follows.
AI Context Discovery
Historical searches performed for this analysis:
• Ukraine peace deal negotiations and winter infrastructure strikes (1 month)
• Myanmar humanitarian crisis WFP pipeline and aid cuts (3 months)
• Sudan RSF escalation and famine indicators (6 months)
• Guinea-Bissau coups and political instability around elections (1 year)
• Iran’s control over Houthis and broader proxy network post-2023 (6 months)
• US ACA subsidy expiry and projected premium spikes (1 month)
• Southeast Asia monsoon floods 2025 impacts Thailand Malaysia (1 month)
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