The World Watches
Today in The World Watches, we focus on Venezuela. Before sunrise in the Caribbean, U.S. amphibious ships supported the seizure of the Venezuela‑linked tanker Olina, as Washington advances plans to control revenue from up to 50 million barrels of Venezuelan oil following the capture of Nicolás Maduro. Caracas released opposition figures, which President Trump framed as a U.S.-requested gesture. Allies calculate their exposure: Japan’s ruling party avoids direct criticism; Beijing moves to cut losses and rethink investment risk; European skepticism grows. Why it leads: this tests the post–Cold War prohibition on conquest-adjacent resource control, reshapes hemispheric energy flows, and strains great‑power ties, with immediate stakes for Venezuelan hospitals, payrolls, and fuel. Our historical scan shows a rapid escalation since Jan. 3, when “Operation Absolute Resolve” used 150+ aircraft; U.S. language shifted from seizing barrels to administering revenue and “running” Venezuela.
AI Context Discovery
Historical searches performed for this analysis:
• US invasion of Venezuela (Operation Absolute Resolve) (1 month)
• Greenland annexation crisis and US threats toward Denmark (1 month)
• Sudan genocide, famine, and humanitarian crisis (1 year)
• DRC M23 capture of Goma and ongoing conflict (1 year)
• Myanmar humanitarian crisis and conflict (1 year)
• Haiti governance crisis, gang violence, humanitarian needs (1 year)
• Ukraine peace talks, Paris summit Jan 6, and Russia's Oreshnik missile (3 months)
• Iran protests, economic collapse, internet shutdowns (3 months)
• Thailand-Cambodia border war and displacement (3 months)
• Gaza ceasefire violations and aid access restrictions (3 months)
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