The World Watches
Today in The World Watches, we focus on Ukraine–Russia–U.S. talks in Abu Dhabi. As dawn broke over Kyiv and Kharkiv, Russian missiles and drones hit neighborhoods and energy targets, killing at least one and injuring dozens—strikes Ukraine says “hit the negotiation table.” Why this leads: timing and risk. For the first time since 2022, all three parties sit together on a U.S.-drafted plan even as territory remains unresolved. Russia has proposed a one‑year voluntary arms cap; Washington and Moscow report no formal contacts as New START lapses in 12 days, removing the last bilateral nuclear inspection regime. Our scan over recent months shows sustained Russian targeting of Ukraine’s grid—IEA warned urgent spares, air defenses, and EU interconnects are needed—making energy a weapon at the table as sub-zero temperatures persist.
Global Gist
Today in Global Gist, the hour’s developments—and gaps.
- U.S.: Pentagon’s new strategy pivots to homeland and Western Hemisphere, signaling “more limited” allied support and a softer tone on China; veterans slam Trump’s NATO remarks. A coast-to-coast winter storm disrupts 8,000+ flights, affecting up to 180 million people; Minneapolis sees tens of thousands protest ICE tactics amid bitter cold.
- Diplomacy/Europe: Allies at Davos question a fraying order; EU voices “serious doubts” about a U.S. “Peace Council.” Greenland tariffs remain a fracture point despite mixed signals; EU weighs its anti‑coercion “bazooka.”
- Middle East: European airlines suspend routes as Gulf tensions build; Iran warns any attack means “all‑out war.” Gaza NGO bans effective since Jan 1 keep aid far below the 500–600 trucks/day benchmark; the UN urges reversal.
- Trade/Tech/Finance: NYSE unveils a tokenized securities platform; TikTok touts a U.S. JV; AI investments draw “bubble-like” warnings; banks lean into composable, AI‑driven architectures.
- Asia-Pacific: Fewer Chinese tourists dim Japan’s retail outlook; Thailand–Cambodia ceasefire fragile; South Korea awaits Yoon’s verdict Feb 19; Taiwan wrestles with defense funding mechanics.
Underreported, per our historical check:
- Sudan: Famine confirmed in El Fasher and Kadugli; 33 million need aid through June, WFP seeks $700 million, with food pipelines at risk of running dry.
- Haiti: Feb 7 governance cliff looms; gangs hold most of Port‑au‑Prince; elections not before August 2026—scarce fresh coverage despite escalating risk.
- Iran: Coverage has plummeted even as blackout persists and casualty estimates diverge dramatically.
AI Context Discovery
Historical searches performed for this analysis:
• Abu Dhabi talks between U.S., Ukraine, and Russia to end the war (3 months)
• Russian attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure and grid capacity impacts (6 months)
• Expiration of New START treaty and U.S.-Russia arms control contacts (1 year)
• Greenland tariffs dispute and NATO/EU cohesion (3 months)
• Sudan famine/genocide and humanitarian funding gaps (6 months)
• Gaza aid restrictions and NGO bans since Jan 1, 2026 (1 month)
• Haiti governance crisis ahead of Feb 7, 2026 and gang control of Port-au-Prince (3 months)
• Iran protests since January 2026 blackout and casualty estimates (1 month)
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