Global Gist
Today in Global Gist, the essentials — and what’s omitted
- Ukraine: Russian drones and missiles hit Kharkiv and Kryvyi Rih as Kyiv manages rolling outages; the grid operates near 60% capacity and an energy emergency is in place after months of infrastructure strikes.
- Arms control: New START expires in 10 days. Moscow says there are no contacts with Washington; past Russian offers for a one‑year voluntary cap linger without movement — yet media coverage remains minimal.
- Gaza: U.S. officials say Hamas disarmament under the ceasefire could come with “some sort of amnesty.” On the ground, Israel’s ban on 37 aid groups since Jan 1 still throttles access; roughly 102 trucks/day enter, far short of the 500–600 needed.
- Trade shock: President Trump moves to raise tariffs on South Korea to 25% as Seoul rushes to pass a $350B U.S. investment bill; markets swing as the dollar drops and gold tops $5,000.
- India–EU: Leaders prepare to announce a long‑sought free trade deal, deepening ties amid tariff turbulence and EU unease over India–Russia links.
- Mediterranean tragedy: As Cyclone Harry raked North Africa, as many as 380 migrants may have drowned near Tunisia; at least 50 more died in a separate shipwreck.
Underreported — confirmed by our context checks:
- Sudan: Famine conditions persist in El Fasher and Kadugli; 33.7 million need aid, the world’s largest displacement crisis — coverage has collapsed.
- Haiti: Feb 7 mandate cliff in 12 days; gangs control most of the capital; elections deemed “materially impossible.”
- Iran: HRANA reports 5,459 protester deaths as a blackout enters day 18; some access is returning, but coverage has thinned.
Insight Analytica
Today in Insight Analytica, the threads
- Security guardrails thinning: The approaching lapse of New START, domestic militarization in Minnesota, and NGO bans in Gaza each erode institutional buffers meant to contain force.
- Infrastructure as leverage: From Ukraine’s substations to U.S. winter‑strained grids and Minnesota’s information battles, control over power and data flows shapes outcomes on the ground.
- Economic cascades: Tariff hikes ricochet through supply chains already squeezed by AI‑driven chip demand, while climate shocks — southern Africa’s floods, Mediterranean storms — convert economic stress into displacement and hunger.
AI Context Discovery
Historical searches performed for this analysis:
• Minnesota federal killings and federal surge (ICE/Border Patrol) (1 month)
• New START treaty expiration and US-Russia arms control contacts (1 year)
• Sudan famine and displacement numbers (6 months)
• Ukraine energy grid attacks and emergency measures (6 months)
• Gaza NGO bans and aid truck entry levels (1 month)
• Haiti governance crisis and Feb 7 deadline (6 months)
• Greenland tariffs/NATO dispute framework from Davos (1 month)
• Iran protests death toll and internet blackout January 2026 (1 month)
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Middle East Conflict • https://www.aljazeera.com/xml/rss/all.xml
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Hundreds feared dead in attempt to cross Mediterranean during cyclone
Health & Environment • https://www.theguardian.com/world/rss
• Italy