Insight Analytica
Today in Insight Analytica, the threads
- Deterrence without deals: With New START expired and Iran tensions rising, nuclear ambiguity grows — pushing allies toward hedging, Europe toward strategic autonomy, and adversaries to test red lines.
- Energy as a battlespace: Ukraine’s grid strikes, Cuba’s refinery fire, and Gulf risk premia show how power security, prices, and conflict now move in lockstep.
- The aid contraction cascade: Donor cuts shrink health systems, driving famine in Sudan and hunger risks in Yemen and the DRC — compounding war and climate shocks.
AI Context Discovery
Historical searches performed for this analysis:
• Gaza ceasefire Phase 2, aid access, violations (3 months)
• Sudan famine expansion in North Darfur, IPC classifications (3 months)
• Iran protests 2026 blackout, HRANA death toll, arrests, rial collapse (3 months)
• Haiti transitional governance after TPC dissolution, PM Fils-Aimé, election feasibility (3 months)
• Ukraine power infrastructure strikes, power deficit, missile and drone campaigns (3 months)
• New START expiration Feb 2026, U.S.-Russia statements on compliance (3 months)
• Global aid cuts and USAID contract cancellations, Lancet mortality projection to 2030 (6 months)
• Media coverage disparities of African crises versus Gaza, quantified comparisons (6 months)
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