The World Watches
Today in The World Watches, we focus on the Strait of Hormuz. As night training flares fade over the Gulf, Iran temporarily shut sections of the waterway during live-fire drills and missile launches, after weeks of rising frictions with the U.S. Around one-fifth of global oil and LNG moves through these narrows; even hours-long closures ripple across prices and insurance. Why it leads: visible escalation at a chokepoint coincides with U.S. naval deployments, Oman-channel diplomacy stuck, and the broader arms-control vacuum after New START’s expiry. The drivers: signaling amid sanctions standoffs, tanker harassment attempts, and pressure from Gaza and West Bank fronts. Watch for: any shift from “safety closures” to coercive control, and whether backchannels cap miscalculation.
AI Context Discovery
Historical searches performed for this analysis:
• Sudan famine and genocide indicators in Darfur and across Sudan (6 months)
• Haiti transitional council dissolution and consolidation of executive power under PM Fils-Aimé (6 months)
• Global aid cuts including USAID cancellations and projected mortality impacts (6 months)
• Ethiopia–Eritrea tensions and Tigray relapse into conflict (6 months)
• Minnesota federal operation, legal controversies, and casualties since January 2026 (3 months)
• New START expiration and nuclear arms control gap (1 year)
• Gaza ceasefire Phase 2 violations, aid levels, and West Bank escalations (3 months)
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