The World Watches
Today in The World Watches, we focus on the U.S. Supreme Court’s 6–3 ruling curbing President Trump’s authority to impose sweeping global tariffs under the 1977 IEEPA—and his immediate counter, a new 10% blanket import duty for 150 days. Why it leads: the decision resets the separation of powers on trade, triggers corporate refund claims, and jolts allies weighing exemptions and retaliation. Our archive shows a rapid sequence: court rebuke, corporate refund demands, allied recalibration (Japan, France “will adapt”), and a White House pivot to alternative authorities and carve‑outs (CUSMA). Stakes: price pressures at home, leverage abroad before Trump’s planned China visit, and a test of judicial checks in an election cycle.
Global Gist
Today in Global Gist:
- Middle East/Iran: As live‑fire IRGC drills squeeze the Strait of Hormuz, Washington issues fresh shipping guidance and sustains a regional build‑up. Backchannel nuclear talks flicker, but miscalculation risk persists at a chokepoint moving about 20% of seaborne oil.
- Israel/Palestine: Israeli strikes in Lebanon killed at least 10, including a senior Hezbollah figure. In the West Bank, reports detail settler outposts and “silent annexation” pressures; in the Knesset, a bill advancing capital punishment for Palestinians would strip appeals—raising grave due‑process concerns.
- UK: Government weighs removing Andrew Mountbatten‑Windsor from the line of succession, deepening repercussions from the Epstein archive.
- Trade/Tech: EU bars Chinese bodies from Horizon Europe grants in AI, chips, and quantum, citing security. India and Brazil ink a critical‑minerals pact to diversify away from China. Google partners with Sea to embed AI across Shopee and Garena; Notion unveils custom AI agents; Anthropic’s coding tools consolidate share.
- Africa: UN investigators say RSF atrocities in El Fasher bear hallmarks of genocide; separate probes find child soldiers going viral on TikTok from Sudan’s war. Kenya reports 1,000+ nationals lured to fight for Russia in Ukraine. Vitol backs a $3B LNG power plant at Durban Port to stabilize South Africa’s grid.
- Europe: CDU Congress navigates Merkel’s legacy; France braces for far‑right activist rallies as Macron urges calm; EU touts “turbocharged” FTAs and presses Bosnia on electoral reforms; Turkey executes its first fully digital letter of credit.
- Americas: Federal agencies face scrutiny over extremist messaging; prisons reverse gender‑affirming care; courts check parts of Texas’ DEI ban; Wisconsin extends postpartum Medicaid; NYC nixes Waymo expansion; EPA rolls back a coal emissions rule affecting Montana’s Colstrip.
- Underreported crises (archive check): Sudan’s famine risk and El Fasher atrocities remain acute; Haiti’s transitional council ceded power to a U.S.-backed PM with August elections still tenuous amid gang dominance. Gaza aid architecture remains fragile as UNRWA access and funding remain constrained.
AI Context Discovery
Historical searches performed for this analysis:
• US Supreme Court ruling on Trump tariffs and IEEPA authority (1 month)
• Sudan: El Fasher siege, RSF atrocities, and famine warnings in Darfur (6 months)
• Haiti security crisis, transitional council, and election prospects (6 months)
• Gaza humanitarian access, UNRWA funding, and reconstruction plans (6 months)
• US–Iran tensions and military posturing in and around the Strait of Hormuz (1 month)
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