The World Watches
Today in The World Watches, we focus on Mexico after the killing of Nemesio “El Mencho” Oseguera, the Jalisco New Generation Cartel’s leader. As dawn broke over Jalisco, coordinated reprisals spread across 20 states: roadblocks, arson, and assaults that left at least 25 National Guard members dead, with attacks near airports and city centers. Our historical scan shows the operation that killed Oseguera triggered a countrywide “revenge spree” within hours, with officials confirming U.S. intelligence support in the hunt. Why it leads: the fallout tests Mexico’s security institutions, threatens tourism hubs like Puerto Vallarta — where Canada counts 26,000 nationals — and risks violent succession struggles inside one of the hemisphere’s most powerful cartels.
Global Gist
Today in Global Gist — the hour’s essentials and what’s missing
- Trade shock: The EU froze a U.S. trade framework after the Supreme Court voided most IEEPA-based tariffs and Washington pivoted to a 15% global levy; Italy and Brussels demand clarity. Historical context: the EU “turbocharged” FTAs since 2025 and now pauses to gauge U.S. reliability.
- Ukraine: On the war’s anniversary, Kyiv warns of a grinding campaign as Russia sustains winter strikes on power and gas infrastructure first intensified last fall.
- Hungary: Budapest vows to block fresh EU cash for Kyiv and new Russia sanctions, underscoring internal EU strain.
- Middle East: U.S. forces began withdrawing from a main base in northeast Syria and aim to leave within a month, even as the USS Gerald R. Ford heads to Haifa and Israel bans five Palestinian media outlets in East Jerusalem. Tensions with Iran sharpen; students in Iran protest for a third day.
- Gaza finance: Sources say Trump advisers are exploring a USD‑pegged stablecoin for Gaza; not a “Gaza Coin,” but a payments rail under review.
- Weather: A historic snowstorm paralyzed New York, snarling transit across the metro.
- Tech/Markets: Software stocks extend a multi-week selloff; Novo Nordisk shares drop 15% on weak obesity-drug data; PayPal, down ~46% year-on-year, draws takeover interest.
- Culture/Politics: Berlinale navigates Gaza speech disputes; UK PM orders an ethics probe into a minister; Peter Mandelson is arrested amid Epstein-related inquiries.
Underreported, confirmed by our historical scan:
- Sudan: UN-mandated findings say the RSF’s El Fasher destruction bears “hallmarks of genocide,” echoing months of Yale-backed evidence of mass killings and coverups.
- DRC: Rwanda‑backed M23 advances since late 2025 displaced roughly 200,000 in a single push and threaten a “regional conflagration.”
- Haiti: Gangs still control critical arteries in Port‑au‑Prince; UN appeals remain chronically underfunded, with millions facing acute hunger.
AI Context Discovery
Historical searches performed for this analysis:
• Mexico cartel violence after death of 'El Mencho' (Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes) and Jalisco unrest (1 year)
• US Supreme Court ruling on IEEPA tariffs and subsequent global 15% tariff policy; EU response (1 year)
• Sudan RSF siege of El Fasher and genocide indicators (1 year)
• DRC conflict around M23, advances toward Goma, displacement (1 year)
• Haiti gangs control of Port-au-Prince and humanitarian access (1 year)
• US military presence and withdrawal timeline in Syria; regional implications (1 year)
• Russia strikes on Ukrainian energy infrastructure winter 2025-26 (6 months)
• EU 'turbo' free trade agreements pace and strategy 2025-26 (1 year)
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