The World Watches
Today in The World Watches, we focus on the U.S.–Iran flashpoint. As dawn nears on a last diplomatic window, Washington has two carrier groups positioned and F‑22s in Israel, while Geneva talks on Feb 27 are framed as the final off‑ramp before a strike window around March 1–4. Our historical scan over six months shows a steady build: public signaling of readiness, regional NOTAMs in Iran, allied evacuation advisories, and analysts shifting from “deal possible” to “war likelier.” Saudi and Gulf diplomacy has pressed restraint even as Iran reportedly moves toward a China-linked anti‑ship missile deal. Why it leads: escalation would roil energy markets and shipping lanes, risk regional spillover to Lebanon and the Red Sea, and divert global attention from already underfunded crises.
AI Context Discovery
Historical searches performed for this analysis:
• US–Iran tensions and potential U.S. strike window Feb–Mar 2026 (6 months)
• Gaza NGO ban and humanitarian access restrictions (6 months)
• South Sudan civil war 2025–2026 displacement and aid access (6 months)
• Sudan El Fasher siege, genocide warnings, and famine indicators (6 months)
• Ukraine war entering fifth year; sanctions and diplomacy timelines (6 months)
• Supreme Court IEEPA tariffs ruling and executive trade tools (3 months)
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