Today raises the question of whether the world is entering an era where “permission systems” — who gets to transit, trade, publish, or even connect — are becoming the primary battlefield. At sea, the Hormuz dispute is explicitly about authorization and enforcement, per [BBC News] and [France24]. Online, [NPR] reports Iranians are leaving the country just to access the internet, suggesting a parallel contest over information chokepoints. A competing interpretation is that these are separate dynamics that only look connected: maritime coercion is about oil and deterrence, while internet restriction is domestic control under stress.
Another pattern that bears watching: transparency as a strategic advantage. If, as [NPR] reports, the Justice Department has declared the Presidential Records Act unconstitutional, it raises questions about what “accountability infrastructure” looks like during prolonged conflict — but it’s still unclear how courts, Congress, and agencies will respond, and on what timeline.