Middle East: nuclear diplomacy and battlefield reality are colliding. [Al-Monitor] notes Israeli concern that the U.S.–Saudi nuclear deal could accelerate a regional arms race, while maritime insecurity continues to ripple outward; [Al-Monitor] reports the Houthis claim attacks on two Saudi tankers, with Saudi Arabia saying one was ablaze in the Red Sea—crew reported safe, attribution and incident specifics still developing.
Europe/Eurasia: [Al Jazeera] reports Rubio and Lavrov met in Manila to discuss Ukraine, with Moscow again signaling readiness for a “political and diplomatic settlement,” a phrase that leaves terms undefined.
Africa: supply-chain war economies are in view—[Dabangasudan] cites warnings that gum arabic revenues, second only to gold, help finance Sudan’s conflict.
Indo-Pacific: [SCMP] reports two days of PLA live-fire drills in the Taiwan Strait, a tempo that keeps miscalculation risk on the map.