Does the combination of sharply reduced Hormuz traffic, attacks on commercial vessels, and rising costs in import-dependent Somalia indicate a wider transmission of maritime insecurity into household economies? If the disruption persists, that is plausible; yet Somalia’s drought, debt, local market conditions, and piracy have distinct causes, so simultaneity does not establish one chain of command or causation. Another pattern worth watching is verification: Gaza’s proposed disarmament arrangements, Hormuz corridor discussions, and deconfliction efforts after Israeli strikes in Syria all depend on who can inspect, certify, and enforce terms. Could verification mechanisms lower risk, or might disagreement over their authority become the next obstacle? We do not yet know their mandates, access, or consent from the parties involved.