Ukraine OSINT Report

OSINT Briefing for February 21, 2025:

**Briefing Summary on the Russia-Ukraine Conflict (2025-02-21):**

1. **Military Developments:**
- Russian forces have made territorial gains, reportedly liberating Nadezhinka on the Novopavlovsk front, as well as Novoocheretovatoye and Novoselka on the Southern Donetsk front. They continue to advance on the Zaporizhzhia front, specifically targeting Pyatykhatsky, and are actively targeting Ukrainian positions on the Pokrovsk and Krasnoarmeysk fronts.
- The use of drone strikes by Russian forces is disrupting Ukrainian supply lines and communications.
- Italy has confirmed the deployment of Italian B1 Centauro wheeled tank destroyers to support Ukraine.

2. **Technological and Defense Innovations:**
- The Russian Minister of Digital Transformation announced potential integration of drone swarms into defense strategies.
- The Ukrainian Ministry of Defense has approved the use of the Teslya robotic logistics complex.
- Milrem Robotics has introduced the HAVOC RCV, an 8x8 combat robotic vehicle, highlighting the ongoing evolution in military technology.

3. **Diplomatic and Economic Negotiations:**
- The US and Ukraine are in the final stages of negotiating a deal on rare earth minerals, with ongoing discussions about security guarantees. Despite some criticisms and perceived shortcomings, the US administration expects Ukraine to accept the deal.
- Ukrainian and Russian officials are engaged in negotiations over Ukrainian deposits, with the US proposing changes and an improved offer to the agreement.

4. **International Relations and Criticisms:**
- The British are reportedly recruiting Russian diplomats, a move that could influence diplomatic dynamics.
- Former US President Trump and various US officials have criticized Ukrainian President Zelensky, questioning his role and presence in negotiations with Russia.
- An article in the New York Post has criticized Russian aggression in Ukraine, focusing on its leadership under Putin.
- Estonian and French defense ministers have called for an emergency meeting to discuss further support for Ukraine.

5. **Asset and Reconstruction Considerations:**
- Russia is contemplating the use of its frozen assets in Europe to assist in the reconstruction of Ukraine, including the occupied territories, indicating a potential shift in economic strategy.

This summary consolidates the key developments and negotiations occurring in the ongoing conflict, highlighting military movements, technological advancements, and significant diplomatic engagements.


Telegram Messages Processed:

Summary:

1. Russian ambassador accuses BBC of ignorance about Russia's armed aggression in Ukraine in 2014.
2. Russian Minister of Digital Transformation announces the possibility of using drone swarms in the country's defense forces.
3. Russia is considering using its frozen assets in Europe to aid in the reconstruction of Ukraine, including the occupied territories.
4. Italians report that Italian B1 Centauro wheeled tank destroyers are being sent to Ukraine.
5. The US and Ukraine are finalizing a deal on rare earth minerals.
6. Ukrainian Ministry of Defense approves the use of the Teslya robotic logistics complex.
7. Milrem Robotics introduces the HAVOC RCV, an 8x8 combat robotic vehicle.
8. The British are reportedly recruiting Russian diplomats.
9. Russian forces announce the liberation of Nadezhinka on the Novopavlovsk front.
10. US officials and media continue to criticize Ukrainian President Zelensky.
11. Russian forces continue to advance on the Zaporizhzhia front, targeting the town of Pyatykhatsky.
12. Russian forces use drone strikes to disrupt Ukrainian supply lines and communications.
13. Former US President Trump criticizes Zelensky's role in negotiations with Russia.
14. Estonian and French defense ministers call for an emergency meeting to discuss support for Ukraine.
15. There are ongoing discussions regarding the security guarantees in the rare earth minerals deal between the US and Ukraine.
16. Trump believes Zelensky's presence at negotiations is not essential.
17. The New York Post publishes an article criticizing Russia's aggression in Ukraine and its leader, Putin.
18. Ukrainian and Russian officials negotiate a deal on Ukrainian deposits, with the US proposing changes to the agreement.
19. The US administration believes that Ukraine will have to accept the deal despite its shortcomings.
20. Russian forces continue to target Ukrainian positions on the Pokrovsk front.
21. The US and Ukraine are expected to sign an agreement on Ukrainian deposits.
22. Russian forces continue to target Ukrainian positions on the Krasnoarmeysk front.
23. Ukrainian and US officials negotiate a deal on Ukrainian deposits, with the US presenting an improved offer.
24. Ukrainian and US officials continue negotiations on a deal regarding Ukrainian deposits.
25. Russian forces liberate Novoocheretovatoye and Novoselka on the Southern Donetsk front.

Sources: